The Sconi

Former President Donald Trump (R) leads President Joe Biden (D) by one point among Wisconsin voters in the 2024 race for the White House.

That’s according to a poll of Wisconsin voters released April 10 by the League of American Workers (LAW).

Trump and Biden are tied at 45% in a two-way race, and in a five-way race Trump is at 37%, one point ahead of Biden’s 36%, leading Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (I), who is at 13%, Jill Stein (G), at 4%, and Cornel West (G), at 2%, who are also on the ballot.

Biden and Trump both have won enough state primaries to become the presumptive nominees of their respective parties, setting up a rematch of the 2020 election, in which Biden won by receiving 302 electoral votes. Neither candidate received more than 50% of the vote in Wisconsin in 2020, with Biden receiving 49.4% of the vote to Trump's 48.8%.

Almost four years later, 56% of Wisconsin voters disapprove of the job Biden is doing on the economy, according to the LAW poll results. Those results are almost identical to the president’s 58% disapproval rating in LAW’s December 2023 Arizona poll. 

The poll also found that 54% of voters say they “were better off financially" when Trump was president. 

These poll results came the same week the U.S. Federal Reserve announced rising inflation numbers. 

“Counting in food and fuel, the inflation measure climbed 3.5 percent in March from a year earlier, up from 3.2 percent in February and faster than what economists have anticipated,” reported the New York Times.

Robert Pozen and S.P. Kothari, professors at the MIT Sloan School of Management wrote in an April 12 Wall Street Journal op-ed that “consumers feel they are still battling price inflation.”

“You paid $10 for a tuna sandwich at a takeout lunch place at the start of 2021,” wrote Pozen and Kothari. “By the start of 2024, the same tuna sandwich cost $11.80.”

“That certainly feels like severe inflation,” they wrote. “ It wouldn't be much comfort if an economist told you that you should feel good because the price of the tuna sandwich rose by only 3.11% in the last year, from $11.45 to $11.80.”

The survey released by LAW was conducted among 600 likely Wisconsin voters on April 6-9, 2024 by North Star Public Opinion Research. 

Founded in 2022 by political strategist and commentator Steve Cortes, LAW conducts research and develops proposals on public policies impacting American workers and the economy.